25 November 2000, Volume 22 Issue 4
    

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  • ZHANG Xin-ping, YAO Tan-dong, NAKAWO Masayoshi, JIAO Ke-qin
    JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 289-297. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0057
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    The correlations of the (δ18O)max in the shallow ice core from the Guliya Ice Cap on the Tibetan Plateau with the global sea surface temperatures (SST) and height at the 500 hPa over the Northern Hemisphere were analyzed. The correlated regions on oceans that have an important influence on the(δ18O)max in the Guliya ice coreare all located in ocean currents or convergent regions of currents. They are the eastern Equatorial Pacific, the Northern Pacific Current, the Hot Pool in the eastern Indian Ocean, the Mozambique Current, the Northern Atlantic Current, the CanaryCurrent and the Atlantic Equatorial Current. The (δ18O)max in the core has negative correlations with the SST located in the lower latitudes, and positive correlations with that in the middle latitudes. The correlated areas at the 500 hPa that make an important impact on the (δ18O)max are located in the subtropical highs over the mid low latitude oceans and the long wave trough area over Balkhash Lake, where there are marked negative correlations between the heights in those areas and the (δ18O)max. The influencing mechanism is displayed by the diversity of the vapor origins transported to the Guliya Ice Cap. The strengths of the European ridge and the ridge over Baikal Lake have the notable positive correlations with the (δ18O)max. The two systems indirectly influence the vapor transportation towards the Guliya region by the adjustment of long-wave trough and ridge. The followings are revealed: (1) The (δ18O)max in the Guliya ice core decreases when the subtropical high over the western Pacific is strengthened and moves to the west or when the trough over Balkhash Lake becomes shallow. Contrarily, the (δ18O)max in the core increases when the high is weakened and retreats back eastward, or when the trough is deepened. (2) If the SST in the eastern Equatorial Pacific ascends anomalously duringtheprecedingwinter,i. e., when an El Ni event happens, the latitudinal Walker Circle is weakened. Simultaneously, the subtropical high over the western Pacific during the summer season is strengthened and stretches towards the west, which will lead to a decrease in the(δ18O)max.On the contrary,if the SST descendsanomalously, i. e., when a La Nia event happens, the (δ18O)max increases. (3) When the SST in the Hot Pool or in the Mozambique Current ascends, the southwest monsoon in the low layer of the troposphere is also strengthened, and therefore, the (δ18O)max in the core decreases. On the contrary, when the SST in the Pool or in the Mozambique Current descends, the (δ18O)max increases. (4) When the SST in the Canary Current descends or that in the Atlantic Equatorial Current ascends, the subtropical high over the western Atlantic and the eastern Atlantic to North Africa is strengthened, and therefore, the (δ18O)max in the core decreases. On the contrary, when the SST in the Canary Current ascends or that in the Atlantic Equatorial Current descends, the (δ18O)max in the core increases.
  • GAO Qian-zhao
    JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 298-308. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0058
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    There are 43 inland rivers, originated from the Tibetan Plateau, in the south edge areas of the Tarim Basin, within the Hotan and Bayingolin Prefectures, where more than 100 patches of oasis form along the south periphery of the Taklimakan Desert. Climate within the basin is an extremely arid one in the warm-temperate zone. The total water resources in the studied areas are 96.4×108m3, among them 91.4×108m3 is surface runoff resources mainly from glacier meltwater and precipitation in mountain areas, and only 5×108m3 is non-repeat groundwater resources. These limited water resources are important natural resources not only for regional economic development, but also for maintaining ecological balance in the south Tarim Basin. Mountains coexist with plains, oases coexist with sandy desert areas, and agriculture areas coexist with animal husbandry areas. Thus transition belts form in the south periphery of the Taklimakan Desert, which are typical vulnerable ecological environment zones. Water resources systems are closely related with ecological environment factors through hydrological cycle in an organic whole. In order to achieve sustainable development and good circulation of ecological environment, physical environment and resources development, climatic and hydrological characteristics, surface and ground waters in the plains in front of mountains and groundwater in the Taklimakan Desert are discussed systematically in this paper. So do the ecological environmental vulnerability and human activity impact, and the observed processes and expected trends of land degradation in the South Tarim Basin. Since 1900, especially since 1950, human activities have deeply impacted on the ecological environment of oases through development and use of water, and this degradation is accelerating. Therefore the opportunity of West China Development must be grasped. Water resources utilization will be adjusted and allocated optimistically, considering ecological environment improvement and reconstruction with technology progress and ecological planning. Four measures of ecological construction strategy against desertification are put forwards so that to control the land degradation and to run into a soundly circulation step by step. They are controlling the balance between irrigation water and ecologically demand water, transforming the traditional developing model of being agriculture first before, determining and guaranteeing water supply for ecological demand in degraded oases by rational planning, and protecting available vegetation from destruction and promoting ecological environment in developing mineral resources.
  • SUN Guang-you
    JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 309-316. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0059
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    Based on investigation of swamp and permafrost in the Da-Xiao Hinggan Mountains, Northeast China, comparative observation and systematic analysis, this paper reveals the symbiotic mechanisms of swamp and permafrost. In the mountains, swamp and permofrost form an open eco-environmental system. In the system, there are swamp including life layer and peat layer in the upper part which is a functionary interface, and an active layer where substance and energy of the system accumulated and dispersed. Permofrost is as a base in the lower part of the system. One of the symbiotic mechanisms is that peat layer protect and promote the underneath permofrost. Due to the features of absorbing water, insulating heat and storing energy in the peat layer, the cold energy in the permafrost layer can not decrease disperse easily in warm season, resulting in curb or decrease the thawing of permafrost. During the winter, frozen peat layer can conduct cold energy down more quickly than a bare land, this increase cold energy storage in permafrost. Field observation shows that average ground temperature in the peat marshland was 3.5 ℃ lower than that of bare land during the summer. While in winter, cumulative negative temperature in the peat marshland was 4.4 times more than that in the bare land, and results in expansion of frozen ground. The second symbiotic mechanism is that permafrost promoted the upper marsh’s swelling effect. Owing to the existence of permafrost the frozen layer can hinder water seeping down, and the thaw layer can release water, resulting in marsh or wetland developing stably and favorable to wetland evolution. In addition, permafrost can prevent peat from decomposition and benefits peat accumulating there. Change in swamp or permafrost could lead to system alternation. The degeneration processes of swamp and permafrost in the Da-Xiao Hinggan Mountains are coincident.
  • DAI Xin-gang
    JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 317-322. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0060
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    Glacial interglacial cycle is the main characteristics of the paleoclimate evolution over the Quaternary. The cycles, recorded by δ18O in marine sediment, are of three main dominant periods, i.e., 100 ka, 41 ka and 23 ka. Milutin Milankovitch suggested that the change of the caloric summer insolation in 65°N could be regarded as a characteristic orbital forcing that approximately indicates the number and the phases of the Ice Ages in the past, because of their similar frequencies with the geological records in the geological time-scale. Indeed, the orbital forcing also includesthe cycles of about 100 ka, 41 ka, 23 ka and 19 ka, corresponding to eccentricity, obliquity and climate precession, respectively. However, Milankovitch′s theory cannot explain all the components of the paleoclimate oscillations, since the amplitude of the eccentricity variations in insolation is relatively too weak to explain the 100 ka paleoclimate cycles. Moreover some geological records show that the 100 ka cycle has just appeared after late Tertiary. This implies the possible relationship between the cycle and the appearance of the large Ice Sheets in Northern Hemisphere. Thus, it is necessary to make further investigation on the origin of the 100 ka cycleof the paleoclimate, involved in glacial-interglacial cycles, by means of more complex paleoclimate model than ever before. LLN 2-D is a box paleoclimate model, developed in the Institut de Astronomie et de Geophysique in Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium. The model is made of three parts: atmospheric, ocean and ice sheet models without topography. The insolation and CO2 are the external and internal forcing to drive the paleoclimate over the earth. It is only the complex one that is suitable to make long-time integration over the geological paston the investigation of the interaction among the three subsystems of the earth climate. The Milankovitch′s theory is numerically verified and the spectra of the modeled SST with LLN 2D model over the past 200 ka are estimated. The results clearly show the spectrum peaks in Milankovitch frequency belts, i.e., 100 ka, 41 ka and 23 ka. The succession in reproducing the 100 ka cycle implies that the paleoclimate cycle in such a period may be a coupled oscillation among ocean, ice sheets and atmosphere although its amplitude has not yet big enough as the oxygen-isotopic SST. In addition, it also underlines the important impacts of large Ice Sheets in the cycle rather than the elevationof the topography over Northern Hemispherein the Quaternary. The topography, especially the Tibetan Plateau can influence not only the general circulation of atmosphere, but also the albedo on it, which is of importance in paleoclimate modelingelse. So, it is needed to improve the model for including the topography over the earth.
  • WU Qing-bai, LI Xin, LI Wen-jun
    JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 323-326. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0061
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    Distribution of permafrost in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau is characterized by a zonation of three-dimensions. By using a method of curve fitting, an empirical correlation between lower limit of high altitude permafrost (HL) and latitude (φ) has been obtained in the Northern Hemisphere. It can be expressed as:
    HL=3 650 exp[-0.003(L-25.37)2]+1 428(1)
    The model is certificated by some data along the Qinghai Xizang Highway, showing that it can precisely reflect the lower limit distribution of permafrost along the Qinghai Xizang Highway. At the same time, the traditional one dimensional permafrost model cannot be applied for regional permafrost mapping along the Qinghai Xizang Highway because of great regional difference in surface characteristics. Modeling the distribution of permafrost along the Qinghai Xizang Highway must consider high altitude permafrost characteristics, permafrost vertical zonation, and mean annual ground temperature (MAGT). The following equation is used to calculate the MAGT on each grid:
    TZ=68.827-0.00827H-0.927L(2)
    Where TZ is MAGT, H is the altitude (m), L is latitude(φ).This equation is based on arelationshipamong MAGT, altitude and latitude. It is obtained by using ground temperature measurements along the Qinghai Xizang Highway. The regression coefficient is 0.96 for 40 data series. Five types of permafrost stability are classified according to MAGT. MAGT of each grid along the Qinghai Xizang Highway is computed from Equations (1)、(2) and DTMs. Then, a map showing ground temperature zones is obtained according to MAGT of each grid and permafrost classification. For thawed areas in permafrost regions, it is difficult to be modeled by the model. So, the distribution of thawed areas is obtained by digital mapping and overlaying it in the map of ground temperature zone. The result of mapping shows that the model of lower limit distribution of permafrost and ground temperature zone in permafrost can precisely describe the distribution characteristics of permafrost along the Qinghai Xizang Highway. The upper zone of permafrost generally exists in high mountainous areas, middle zone exists in Chumaer River high plain areas, mountainous base areas and valley areas, and the lower zone do not exist alone the Qinghai Xizang Highway. This result agrees with the realistic state of permafrost distribution and the effectiveness of the model is verified.
  • YUAN Lin-wang, CHEN Ye, ZHOU Chun-lin, LIU Ze-chun
    JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 327-332. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0062
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    The Qaidam basin is a very large, arid, intermountain, sedimentary basin in western China. It is located to the north of the Tibetan Plateau. Core Dacan-1 was extracted from the east of the Qaidam Basin, due to great thickness, high continuity and fine material composition, the resolution of the core is high, which provides the necessary and sufficient basis for studying the Quaternary paleoclimatic changes in the basin. A natural gamma ray(GR) logging curve of Borehole Dacan-1 was used to inverse paleoclimate change in the basin. The process of environmental change during the last interglacial cycle has been revealed. The variation of GR logging curve can reflects environmental and climatic change, and it can be matched well with those recorded in Guliya ice core and Greenland ice core. The consistency confirms that the ancient global climate change is comparable, and the climate system has its own evolution process. During the transition of warm stage to cool stage, GR logging curve shows the same characteristics with Greenland ice corerecords,ut is opposite to the Guliya ice coreδ18Orecord. This difference shows that different proxy indicators in different regions may have its own characteristics, and it may own different sensibility and reflect regional factors. GR logging curve also reveals regional environmental change in the Qaidam Basin, which well reflected uplift of the Tibetan Plateau, and can be confirmed by the Guliya ice core δ18O record and other correlative studies. Tectonic and climatic events can be identified by the variability of GR logging curve. This suggests that GR logging curve is a sensitive proxy indicator of environmental and climatic changes. It also indicates that the Qaidam Basin, one of the inland paleo-lake is a well information carrier of climatic and environmental change, and it may faithfully record the process and stages of the uplift of Tibetan Plateau. GR logging curve reflects the combined actionof tectogenesisand climatic change. When properly defining the reflection of tectogenesis, more comparable climatic change information can be obtained. Based on the environmental and climatic information deduced from the GR logging curve in the Qaidam Basin, lacustrine deposits of longer time interval and shorter time scale can be extrapolated.
  • JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 340-346. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0064
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    By using correlation and spectrum analyses between snow depth in the Tibetan Plateau and pre-cipitation over Northw est China,along with EOF, REOF and spectral analyses,the spatial anomaly features and temporal evolution of snow depth on the Tibet an Plateau and precipitation anomaly in Northwest China are studied based on the snow data of 49 meterology stations in December,January and February from 1961 to 1988.There are two spatial anomaly patterns of snow depth.The first two loading vector fields of EOF could reflect the whole anomaly structures of winter snow depth in the plateau.The rotated principal component and the data in representative st at ions show that snow depth on the plateau is ou-tphase to precipitation over Northwest China. There is poor correlation between snow depth on the plateau and spring precipitation in Northwest China.It seems a complex non-linear relationship. Winter snow is deep in the South Plateau,followed by less snow in next spring over the Northeast Tibet an Plateau and more snow in western Hexi area. Spectral analysis shows that out-phase change has better coherence for a short period(2~3 a),with a slow effect of snow depth,i.e.,snow depth on the plateau has a lag about 0.02~3 a behind spring precipitation over Northwest China.The t-test shows that there is remarkable difference betw een the snowing and less snow years over the Nort heast Plateau,western Hexi area of Northwest China.
  • CHEN Tuo, QIN Da-he, LI Jiang-feng, REN Jia-wen, LIU Xiao-hong, SUN Wei-zhen
    JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 347-352. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0065
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    Increasing concern on future climate changes and their potential impacts on mankind prompts scientists to explore a variety of historical and natural archives that can infer the past climatic changes. High-resolution time series data of tree-ring is one of them. In principle, when abundant CO2 is available,plants tend to discriminate against 12CO2 relative to 12CO2 during photosynthesis. When stomata closure cuts off CO2 supply in order to sustain operation under reduced CO2 availability, continued carbon fixation is then necessarily less discriminating, while stomata closure is subjected to climatic change, especially change of temperature and (or) precipitation. This link between stomataclosureand 13C/12C ratios (δ13C or Δ13C) in tree-rings forms the basis for a new potential method of climatic research. The research so far, however, has been confined mainly to North American and European continents, but in other regions a better understand of the past climatic changes in a global scale is needed. Therefore, the change of a tree-ring δ13C from a fir growing in the Zhaosu County of Xinjiang Region of China, 295 year old (1688~1982), was analyzed. There existed an obvious relationship between the carbon stable isotope discrimination(Δ13C) and precipitation, relative humidity, temperature and solar irradiation time, which were partly attributed to the shallow root systems of fir, and to shallow soil layer and steep slope of the sampled site. The further research shows that the above apparent relationship between Δ13C and temperature is a result of them correlating with precipitation or relative humidity, because precipitation or relative humidity is the primary limited factors of fir growth. Meanwhile, based on the function relationship between Δ13C and precipitation from June to May, the historic change of precipitation is reconstructed. Many dry and wet characteristics recorded in historical documents and tree-ring width inthe same region are also reflected in the tree-ringΔ13C series.
  • SHI Zheng-tao, ZHANG Shi-qiang, ZHOU Shang-zhe, LI Ji-jun
    JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 353-357. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0066
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    It is very difficult to dateglacial deposits. TL, U-series and 14C dating methods, which are currently usingin Quaternary research, cannotbe used in paleo- moraine dating. Thus there is a great problem for glaciation research. There is a great deal of quartz grain in moraine, which is one of ESR dating materials. After it was buried, theradiation environment of moraine is mainly invariable, and freed from any thermodynamic and dynamical influence of tectonic activity. The study regions belong to continental glacier area, where glaciers flow slowly. The moraine had been exposed under solar radiation for a long time before it was buried. It is reported that signals of Ge center will disappear if a quartz sample is under solar radiation for an hour. Therefore moraine can be dated by means of ESR method. All samples were taken from Mount Lenglongling and Bailang River Basin in the Qilian Mountains, the northeast edge of the TibetanPlateau. The sampling sites are heavyrainfallareasof the Qilian Mountains, where a lot of Quaternary moraines exist. Ge center(g =1.9977) was selectedas calculating center, and the room temperature, X-band wave, microwave power of 2mW, 0.1 modulation amplitude, and magnetic field of about 348±5mT were recorded. Linear correlationmethod was applied.Concentrationsof U, Th, K2O weredetermined by laser fluorescence, colorimetric spectrophotometerand atomic absorption technique, respectively. AD values were calculated following the method of Bell et al. and calibrated by water content. From the ESR dating and contrasted with TL、14C age, it can be seenthat most of the determined agescoincide with the agesestimated fromstratigraphy geomorphology, except for Samples BL-1, BL-2 and LN-1, which are estimated younger than 5 000 a BP.The agesof the samples collected at different positions of a section are about the same, for example, the Samples LS-9 and LS-10. The age of Sample LS-5 coincides with the 14C age of black blue mud material in the same moraine. The age of Sample BL-4 coincideswith the TLageof the loess on the corresponding terrace. These show thatthe determined ages are reliable and credible. But the ESR method seemsnot available for samples younger than 5 000 a BP.
  • JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 358-361. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0067
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    Snow cover and snow depth data are useful indicators of regional or global climate change and basin-scale water storage in mountainous areas. Thus,it is important to ensure that they are accurate and as free as possible of any known biases. Microwave remotely sensed data such as SMMR,SSM/I can be used to retrieve snow depth, but they are constrained by their coarse spatial resolutions and the inaccuracy of the retrieval algorithms. Alternatively,using the snow depth data observed in meteorological stations to estimate snow depth distribution may be a applicable strategy.In this paper, the Kriging interpolator was used to estimate the snow depth distribution.The essential part of the Kriging interpolator is to estimate the variogram, which compares the similarity between pairs of points in a given distance and direction apart,and expresses mathematically the average rate of change of a property with separating distance.When the intrinsic hypot hesis holds the variogram can be used throughout the region of interest.The strongpoint of this method is that it provides the variance of the estimated surface which measures the uncertainty of estimation, and it is free from the boundary effect caused by the hard fit which is serious in other interpolators such as Trend Surface Analysis. The northern part of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China,located between 81~ 94.6 E,41~48.2 N,was taken as the study area.Ten-year mean January snow depth observed in meteorological stations from 1981 to 1990 was used.It is revealed that the interpolated snow depth distribution was in agreement with the realistic snow spatial distribution in trend,in spite of large local errors in parts of the study area.The key fact or causing errors is the meteorological stations rare and inhomogeneous.The variance of the estimated snow depth distribution ranges from 0.2 to 4.2,depending on the meteorological station distribution.Some suggestions for improving the estimation are discussed at last.
  • HOU Shu-gui
    JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 362-365. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0068
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    A series of snow melting tests were performed to verify the effect of ion elution on meltwater chemistry and on the snow chemical profiles. Snow samples were collected at the headwatrers of the Ürümqi River during the January of 1996, and melted in a clean room at about 15℃. The ion measurement was conducted in the Laboratory of Ice and Cold Regions Environment, CAREERI, CAS. For the ion elution experiments that experienced no melting-freezing, the concentration factors (CF) for Cl-, NO3- and SO42- in the initial meltwater are well higher than 1, indicating that ion elution process occurs during melting, which is caused mainly by the location difference of the soluble ions within the ice crystal lattice. However, the preferential elution process is not significant for these experiments, as indicated by the similar CF s of Cl-, NO3- and SO42- ions. For the samples experienced 20 melting-freezing cycles, the highest CF s are 2.7, 4.0 and 4.5 for Cl-, NO3- and SO42-, respectively, much higher than that without melting-freezing. Thus, it is suggest that melting-freezing cycle might enhance the ion elution process, but it affects the different ions incoordinately, depending on the ion features, especially their disability in bond with water molecules.
  • YU Wen-bing, ZHU Yuan-lin, ZHANG Jian-ming, HE Ping
    JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 366-371. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0069
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    In this article, the authors suggested, first in China, how to determine the mechanical properties of frozen soils along the Tibetan Highway by using a preboring pressuremeter test(BPT), and how to use the plainplastic theory and the radial expansive equation of cylinder cave in infinite elastic medium provided by Lame to interpret the results of the BPT. How to deal with the initial data got from the test can be described as follows. First, correcting the initial volume values got from the volume gauge directly. Secondly, correcting the initial pressure values got from the pressure gauge directly by using the results got from the pressure correction table. Thirdly, drawing the relative curves of volume versus pressure by using the corrected data. These curves could give a lot of useful information of the frozen soils, which were tested on. The mechanical properties of frozen soils, such as the pressuremeter proportional limitation, the limited pressure, etc., could be gained from the curves. At last, the pressuremeter modulus and the shear modulus of the frozen soils can be calculated. Analysis shows that both the pressuremeter modulus and other mechanical parameters (including pressuremeter proportional limitation and limited pressure) of frozen soils increase with decreasing temperature; the mechanical parameters of frozen soils increase when water content of frozen soils increasing in acertain range, but decrease when a limited water content is exceeded; the mechanical parameters of frozen soil increase with density of frozen soil increasing; frozen soils in low temperature area with anannual mean temperature lower than -1.5 ℃ is more stable than that in temperate area with anannual mean temperature higher than -1.0 ℃. At the same time, some inevitable problems met in the in situ test arediscussed,and the physical meanings of the pressuremeter modulusand the pressuremeter proportional limitationare analyzed too.
  • XU Zhong-min, LAN Yong-chao, CHENG Guo-dong
    JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 372-375. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0070
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    In spite of that nonlinear problem of hydrological runoff process have been noticed early, hydrologists elaborate various runoff forecast models by means of available experimental methods and dynamic model methods. Traditional models and methods depend on the parameters that have been initially well estimated. Traditional methods with well test interpretation are usually based on a combination of manual and automated techniques. There is obvious limitation in these methods, because the calibration of parameters involves artificial factors. In this paper a new method, named artificial neural network model(ANN), is presented and the Yinluo Gorge is taken as a case study. The runoff in the Yinluo Gorge is selected as an object to test the ANN method, and the back-propagation model, one of the typical artificial neural network models, is applied. How to forecast runoff by using the artificial neural network model and how to reach a fast convergence speed and high accuracy are described by choosing dynamic learning factor and inertia factor. It is revealed that the ANN method might be referred as an effective technique for runoff forecast. It is well known that the neural network model is tolerant to noise in the data. This property provides both advantage and disadvantage. The neural network is effective in recognizing noisy data, and then data smoothing is not necessary. However, the method sometimes recognizes similar something else that not actually belonging to the same pattern. Introducing the knowledge of well test interpretation into the forecast is useful in order to enhance the ability to express the relationship of cause and outcome.
  • JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 376-383. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0071
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    The study of Antarctic glaciology in China is reviewed with the emphasis on the past decade.Much progress has been achieved in the physical characteristics of the Antarcticice sheet and caps and in the study of climatic and environmental records in Antarctic snow and ice.Through observations of snow profiles of numerous snow-pits and shallow cores in the Wilkes Land and Lambert Glacier basin and along the route of the 1990 International Trans-Antarctica Science Expedition(ITASE),the regional features of snow deposition and densification in Antarctica were revealed.The Nelson Island ice cap in South Shetland Islands was investigated in detail that greatly enriched the knowledge of glaciers under a sub-Antarctic maritime climate.From the analyses of shallow ice cores and surface snow samples,in particular those taken along the ITASE route, the systematic data of stable isotopes,soluble impurities and heavy metal Pb in present precipitation in Antarctica has been obtained.Some suggestions are proposed through discussing the present hot points in the above fields.
  • LIU Feng-jing, SUN Jun-ying, ZHANG Ting-jun, CHENG Guo-dong
    JOURNAL OF GLACIOLOGY AND GEOCRYOLOGY. 2000, 22(4): 384-390. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2000.0072
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    In this paper the characteristics of surface radiative fluxes and cloud radiative forcing are reviewed with a focus on the Arctic. Three aspects are addressed, including (i) changes in radiation flux over the global surface; (ii) characteristics of surface fluxes in the Arctic; and (iii) characteristics of cloud radiative forcing in the Arctic. The clouds not only significantly reduce the peak summer radiative heating of the surface but also reduce the wintertime radiative cooling at the surface inhigher latitudes. The downward longwave fluxes dominates the incident radiative fluxes in the Arctic during most of the year. Incoming shortwave fluxes are negligible during late fall, winter and early spring, and even during the midsummer the incoming shortwave fluxes are only slightly greater than the downward longwave fluxes. The total net surface radiative flux is negative for most of the year and only positive during midsummer in the Arctic. The global net cloud radiative forcing is negative, but the cloud radiative forcing is positive in the Arctic, showing a warming effect, except for a short period in mid-summer. Positive cloud-radiative forcing in the Arctic is attributedto the presence of snow and ice with high albedo and the absence of solar radiation during the polar night.