雅鲁藏布江流域极端降水模拟及预估
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高佳佳, 杜军
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Extreme precipitation simulation and forecast of the Yarlung Zangbo River basin
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Jiajia GAO, Jun DU
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表2 各站点的百分位阈值(mm)和年交叉率
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Table 2 Precipitation threshold selection in GPD and the average annual occurrence number for each stations
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百分位 | 阈值 | 年交叉率 | 样本数 | 阈值 | 年交叉率 | 样本数 | 阈值 | 年交叉率 | 样本数 | 阈值 | 年交叉率 | 样本数 | 阈值 | 年交叉率 | 样本数 |
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拉萨 | 墨竹工卡 | 南木林 | 日喀则 | 林芝 |
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90th | 9.2 | 15.6 | 779 | 11.6 | 12.2 | 611 | 9.8 | 15.6 | 593 | 9.7 | 15.5 | 779 | 11.6 | 15.6 | 887 | 95th | 14.0 | 7.7 | 386 | 16.7 | 6.1 | 303 | 14.8 | 7.8 | 298 | 15.1 | 7.7 | 389 | 16.9 | 7.8 | 443 | 97th | 17.2 | 4.6 | 232 | 20.7 | 3.6 | 181 | 18.1 | 4.7 | 179 | 18.6 | 4.6 | 233 | 20.3 | 4.6 | 262 | 98th | 19.9 | 3.1 | 154 | 23.1 | 2.4 | 122 | 21.0 | 3.1 | 117 | 21.7 | 3.1 | 155 | 23.3 | 3.1 | 177 | 99th | 23.6 | 1.5 | 78 | 27.3 | 1.2 | 61 | 25.1 | 1.5 | 60 | 25.6 | 1.5 | 78 | 27.6 | 1.5 | 88 | | 泽当 | 加查 | 拉孜 | 米林 | | | | 90th | 8.2 | 15.4 | 772 | 9.6 | 15.5 | 606 | 7.3 | 15.0 | 617 | 10.9 | 15.6 | 594 | | | | 95th | 12.8 | 7.7 | 389 | 13.9 | 7.7 | 303 | 12.4 | 7.5 | 310 | 15.9 | 7.7 | 295 | | | | 97th | 16.4 | 4.5 | 229 | 17.2 | 4.6 | 181 | 15.9 | 4.5 | 186 | 19.5 | 4.6 | 178 | | | | 98th | 18.9 | 3.1 | 156 | 19.9 | 2.9 | 116 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 123 | 22.1 | 3.1 | 117 | | | | 99th | 22.9 | 1.5 | 77 | 23.1 | 1.5 | 61 | 22.3 | 1.5 | 62 | 25.8 | 1.5 | 60 | | | |
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