北极快速增暖背景下冰冻圈变化及其影响研究综述
蔡子怡,游庆龙,陈德亮,张若楠,陈金雷,康世昌

Review of changes and impacts of the cryosphere under the background of rapid Arctic warming
Ziyi CAI,Qinglong YOU,Deliang CHEN,Ruonan ZHANG,Jinlei CHEN,Shichang KANG
图4 1979—2020年全球/北半球/北极平均近地表气温距平时间序列(ERA5)(a)及1986—2100年全球/北半球/北极平均近地表气温在SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5情景下相比于1986—2005年平均值增温(22个CMIP6模式集合平均结果)37(b~d)(**表示在95%置信水平下显著)
Fig.4 Time series and trends of Arctic, Northern Hemisphere and global near-surface mean air temperature anomalies during 1979—2020 relative to the whole period mean (ERA5) (a), and time series of Arctic, Northern Hemisphere and global near-surface mean air temperature during 1986—2100 relative to the period 1986—2005 from the multi-model ensemble mean (MMEM) of the 22 CMIP6 models under the three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs): SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.537 (b~d) (Symbols ** are significant at the 95% confidence level)