基于LSTM的青藏高原冻土区典型小流域径流模拟及预测

黄克威, 王根绪, 宋春林, 俞祁浩

Runoff simulation and prediction of a typical small watershed in permafrost region of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau based on LSTM

Kewei HUANG, Genxu WANG, Chunlin SONG, Qihao YU

表2 不同气候变化情景下风火山流域径流变化幅度

Table 2 Range of runoff change in Fenghuoshan watershed under different climate change scenarios

月份 降水不变 降水增加10% 降水增加20% +0.5 ℃ +1.0 ℃ +1.5 ℃ +2.0 ℃ +0 ℃ +1.0 ℃ +2.0 ℃ +0 ℃ +1.0 ℃ +2.0 ℃ 年均 2% 3% 4% 5% 12% 14% 16% 24% 27% 28% 4月 4% 8% 12% 16% 3% 11% 19% 6% 14% 22% 5月 2% 4% 5% 7% 4% 8% 11% 9% 13% 16% 6月 1% 3% 4% 6% 10% 14% 17% 21% 25% 29% 7月 3% 6% 10% 14% 12% 19% 29% 24% 33% 43% 8月 -1% -3% -5% -7% 13% 9% 4% 28% 25% 20% 9月 4% 6% 8% 10% 15% 21% 22% 31% 32% 30% 10月 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 4% 6% 7% 11% 15% 11月 10% 20% 29% 39% 0% 20% 39% 0% 19% 38% 12月 17% 36% 57% 80% 0% 36% 80% 0% 36% 80%