流域 | 出水口 | 流域面积/km2 | 冰川覆盖比/% | 水文模型 | 冰川径流占比/% | 模式对比计划 | 气候情景 | 冰川径流拐点出现时间段 |
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恒河 | 全流域[105] | 1 024 462 | 1.1 | GloGEM | — | CMIP5 | RCP2.6 | 2020s | RCP4.5 | 2040s | RCP8.5 | 2050s | >2 000 m[53] | 138 644 | 7.1 | SRM | — | CMIP4 | A1B SRES | 2050s前 | >2 000 m[26] | 202 420 | 4.4 | SPHY | 3.1 | CMIP6 | dTdP | 2020s | Langtang[58] | 360 | 46.1 | TOPKAPI | 13.0 | CMIP5 | RCP4.5 | 2040s | RCP8.5 | 2040s | 雅鲁藏布江 | 全流域[105] | 518 011 | 3.2 | GloGEM | — | CMIP5 | RCP2.6 | 2030s | RCP4.5 | 2040s | RCP8.5 | 2040s | 奴下[102] | 204 863 | 2.1 | VIC-CAS | 5.5 | CMIP5 | RCP2.6 | 2000s前 | RCP4.5 | 2000s前 | >2 000 m[53] | 357 542 | 4.6 | SRM | — | CMIP4 | A1B SRES | 2050s前 | >2 000 m[26] | 400 182 | 2.7 | SPHY | 1.8 | CMIP6 | dTdP | 2020s | 萨尔温江 | 全流域[105] | 258 475 | 0.9 | GloGEM | — | CMIP5 | RCP2.6 | 2020s | RCP4.5 | 2040s | RCP8.5 | 2040s | 嘉玉桥[102] | 75 506 | 1.4 | VIC-CAS | 4.4 | CMIP5 | RCP2.6 | 2000s前 | RCP4.5 | 2000s前 | >2 000 m[26] | 119 377 | 1.5 | SPHY | 1.4 | CMIP6 | dTdP | 2020s | 湄公河 | 全流域[105] | 787 256 | 0.1 | GloGEM | — | CMIP5 | RCP2.6 | 2020s | RCP4.5 | 2040s | RCP8.5 | 2040s | 昌都[102] | 53 644 | 0.4 | VIC-CAS | 1.3 | CMIP5 | RCP4.5 | 2000s | RCP4.5 | 2000s | >2 000 m[26] | 110 678 | 0.3 | SPHY | 0.3 | CMIP6 | dTdP | 2010s前 | 长江 | 全流域[105] | 1 745 094 | 0.1 | GloGEM | — | CMIP5 | RCP2.6 | 2020s | RCP4.5 | 2020s | RCP8.5 | 2040s | 直门达[102] | 140 073 | 0.9 | VIC-CAS | 3.7 | CMIP5 | RCP2.6 | 2000s | RCP4.5 | 2000s | >2 000 m[53] | 596 103 | 0.3 | SRM | — | CMIP4 | A1B SRES | 2050s前 | >2 000 m[26] | 687 150 | 0.4 | SPHY | 0.2 | CMIP6 | dTdP | 2070s | 冬克玛底河流域[72] | 38 | 40 | FLEXG-Δh | — | CMIP6 | RCP2.6 RCP8.5 | 2060-2085 | 黄河 | 全流域[105] | 988 062 | 0.0 | GloGEM | — | CMIP5 | RCP2.6 | 2020s | RCP4.5 | 2050s | RCP8.5 | 2040s | 唐乃亥[102] | 123 023 | 0.1 | VIC-CAS | 0.4 | CMIP5 | RCP2.6 | 2000s | RCP4.5 | 2000s | >2 000 m[26] | 272 857 | 0.1 | SPHY | 0.1 | CMIP6 | dTdP | 2050s |
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